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A Probabilistic Modeling of Photo Voltaic Modules and Wind Power Generation Impact on Distribution Networks

机译:光伏模块的概率建模及风力发电对配电网的影响

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摘要

The rapid growth in use of renewable intermittent energy resources, like wind turbines (WTs) and solar panels, in distribution networks has increased the need for having an accurate and efficient method of handling the uncertainties associated with these technologies. In this paper, the unsymmetrical two point estimate method (US2PEM) is used to handle the uncertainties of renewable energy resources. The uncertainty of intermittent generation of WT, photo voltaic cells, and also electric loads, as input variables, are taken into account. The variation of active losses and imported power from the main grid are defined as output variables. The US2PEM is compared to symmetrical two point estimate method, Gram-Charlier method, and Latin hypercube sampling method, where Monte Carlo simulation is used as a basis for comparison. The validity of the proposed method is examined by applying it on a standard radial 9-node distribution network and a realistic 574-node distribution network.
机译:配电网络中诸如风力涡轮机(WTs)和太阳能电池板之类的可再生间歇性能源的使用迅速增长,对使用准确有效的方法来处理与这些技术相关的不确定性的方法的需求日益增加。本文采用非对称两点估计法(US2PEM)处理可再生能源的不确定性。考虑到间歇性产生WT,光伏电池以及电负载作为输入变量的不确定性。有功损耗和主电网输入功率的变化定义为输出变量。将US2PEM与对称两点估计方法Gram-Charlier方法和Latin hypercube采样方法进行了比较,其中蒙特卡罗模拟被用作比较的基础。通过将其应用于标准的径向9节点分布网络和实际的574节点分布网络来检验所提出方法的有效性。

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